Okay, maybe a little dramatic, some of these guys I might just avoid like a cold. Most of them I think will get you nowhere, the rest I think, will be extremely over-valued. Either way they are on my do-not-draft list. If I have filled all of my starter spots (including the flex) I may take a flyer on one of these guys, but you will never find more than one on any of my teams.
Beanie Wells, RB, ARI – Simple. How long is that knee going to hold up? Two years, two surgeries. He is young but you have to believe he will be done for soon.
Fred Jackson, RB, BUF – I like Fred Jackson, but he is getting old and he is coming off a broken leg. I will tell you from experience, not at his level of course, but at his age, it takes longer to heal and can be hard to come back the same. With a young talented back behind him in C.J. Spiller he will have a short leash.
Any of the Panthers RBs – Too crowded, too much potential, it will be impossible to predict who will get the ball. And let’s face it Cam Newton will probably have half their rushing yards.
LeGarrette Blount – Up and down last year, after a great year in 2010, he looked like maybe he was a one-year wonder, you have to believe the Buccaneers drafted Doug Martin for a reason, and if he does not start day one he certainly will before long.
Percy Harvin, WR, MIN – he is good, and he can probably get it done with any QB, but he is not happy in Minnesota and they have too many question marks on that team to make me feel good about having him start every week, and his migraines are always a question.
Santonio Holmes, WR, NYJ – With the accusations of him quitting on his team last year, and his spat with Mark Sanchez, I don’t like any of their QBs anyways and all the drama that follows him around, he is up there on this list for me.
Reggie Wayne, WR, IN – He is talented, but he is old, he will have a rookie QB, and he has been declining. I traded him off my dynasty team last year and didn’t look back. I wouldn’t recommend him as anything but a flex option or in deep leagues.
Mark Sanchez, QB, NYJ – One question. How long can he hold off the exalted Tim Tebow? I got the feeling the Jets didn’t like him anyways and now bringing in Tim Tebow pretty much spells it out. His days are numbered.
Tim Tebow, QB, NYJ – Will he be a gimmick player or take over for Mark Sanchez? I believe both, but I still don’t count on him much as a passer. We saw what he could do and so have the other teams. If Detroit can keep him locked up I have to believe the other teams will this year as well.
Michael Vick, QB, PHI – I know you need a backup fantasy QB but I would prefer to not need to draft two QBs. Which is exactly what will happen if you have Vick. It is almost guaranteed that he will miss about 4 games. I also think he will be middle of the road fantasy-wise like he was in ATL before he was locked up. There are too many other options that will finish better than Vick for me to bother.
Dustin Keller, TE, NYJ – Can you tell I am not high on the Jets this year? Read the QB situation and you can see why I don’t feel strongly about Keller. It’s really as simple as that.
Tony Gonzalez, TE, ATL – I love Tony, but he is getting old and you can see it in his game, this is probably his last year and there are too many good TEs to bother gambling on him.
Antonio Gates, TE, SD – Another great TE over the years and I still think he will be productive, but injuries are coming up more often for Gates and I just don’t know how many games he will make this year. I hate when a player makes it a need to draft another potential starter at the same position because of durability or consistency